Simulation-driven Risk Engineering

New disaster risks
call for advanced science.

Climate change and a shifting business landscape are creating risks that past experience can no longer explain. Aerota, Inc. uses advanced analytics built on aerospace-grade thermo-fluid simulation technology to reproduce floods, major fires and explosions, verify their impact, and support decisions grounded in evidence.

Challenges

What risk managers are up against

01

Past losses can't predict future ones

Climate change is making windstorms and floods more frequent and severe, and a single major fire can be devastating. Losses on a scale never seen before are becoming common, and historical data alone can no longer tell you how bad the next one could be.

02

Soaring premiums leave sites underinsured

As disasters grow more frequent and severe, premiums keep climbing. Many companies can no longer secure the coverage they need and are left carrying the risk themselves.

03

No clear way to prioritize mitigation

Without a consistent way to compare risk across sites and assets, it is impossible to know where a limited budget will reduce losses the most.

Services

From quantifying risk to reducing it,
powered by simulation.

Physics-based analysis reproduces how losses actually occur, putting a monetary value on the risk at each of your sites.

Risk Assessment

Loss risk assessment

We estimate scenario losses and probable maximum loss (PML) for your sites, buildings and equipment — including indirect losses from business interruption.

  • Scenario loss & PML estimation
  • Cross-site and portfolio risk comparison
  • Business interruption assessment

Risk Finance

Insurance & risk finance design

Using quantified results, we help optimize limits, deductibles and program structure — and provide the technical evidence you need when negotiating with insurers and brokers.

  • Limit & deductible validation
  • Risk documentation for underwriters
  • Retention vs. transfer strategy

Mitigation

Mitigation planning & verification

We re-run the analysis with measures in place — flood barriers, elevated equipment, wind retrofits, fire compartments, sprinklers — and compare the loss reduction, prioritizing the most cost-effective options.

  • Loss reduction by mitigation option
  • Cost-benefit prioritization
  • Input to BCP and emergency plans

Technology

Aerospace thermo-fluid analysis,
applied to disaster risk assessment.

Thermo-fluid simulation is used at the frontier of engineering to design rockets and jet engines. Aerota, Inc. applies these physics-based methods to disaster risk, computing how water, wind, fire, smoke and toxic gases actually behave — and reflecting building geometry, equipment layout and surrounding terrain to reveal site-specific risks that statistics alone cannot.

Validated by experimentOur models are validated against experimental data, so every risk assessment rests on simulations proven to reproduce real-world phenomena with high accuracy.

Academic expertiseExperts engaged in academic research on combustion and two-layer flow analysis take part in developing and validating our analysis methods, bringing insight from the forefront of research to practical risk assessment.

Engineering frontier

AerospaceRocketsJet engines

Applied to

FloodsMajor firesExplosions
  1. HazardHazard analysisFlood depth, wind pressure, fire spread
  2. ExposureAsset modelingLocation and value of buildings, equipment and inventory
  3. VulnerabilityDamage estimationDamage from flooding, heat and toxic gases
  4. LossLoss quantificationDirect and indirect losses in monetary terms

FLOOD

Floods

Starting from rainfall and river overflow, we calculate how floodwater spreads and how deep it gets, reflecting terrain and building geometry. We then reproduce water ingress into each site’s buildings to estimate damage to buildings, equipment and inventory — and the resulting downtime.

  • River & pluvial flooding
  • Typhoon & windstorm

MAJOR FIRE

Major fires

We simulate fire spread and smoke movement inside and around buildings over time. Taking fire compartments and suppression systems into account, we estimate the burned area and damage to equipment and inventory, and assess whether occupants can evacuate safely as smoke descends along escape routes.

  • Fire spread & radiant heat
  • Smoke movement
  • Fire protection review
  • Evacuation safety assessment

EXPLOSION

Explosions

We analyze gas and other explosions at plants and factories, computing how blast pressure travels through the building and equipment layout to estimate the impact loads on structures and the extent of damage.

  • Blast wave propagation
  • Impact loads on structures
  • Damage extent estimation
  • Layout & blast protection review

Related Businesses

Related businesses

Building on our fluid dynamics expertise, we also work beyond risk assessment.

01

CFD Engineering

CFD & combustion analysis for industrial products

We use academic-grade computational fluid dynamics and combustion analysis to visualize and evaluate flow, heat and combustion challenges in product development, supporting your engineering from performance evaluation through design improvement.

  • Flow & thermal analysis
  • Combustion analysis
  • Performance evaluation
  • Design improvement
02

Cyclorotor Fan

Next-generation fan design & prototyping
Cyclorotor technology

Cyclorotors vary the pitch of their blades cyclically as they rotate, allowing the direction and strength of airflow to be controlled. We apply this technology to next-generation fans and support the entire process — from design and working prototypes to integration into your products.

  • Cyclorotor
  • Aerodynamic design
  • Prototyping
  • Product integration

Company

Company profile

Company name
Aerota, Inc.
Corporate number
4012801023562
Established
November 5, 2024
CEO
Manabu Saito
Address
2-9-42 Hiyoshi-cho, Kokubunji-shi, Tokyo, Japan

Contact

Where experience falls short on risk,
advanced science fills the gap.

Get in touch

support@aerota.jp

For inquiries, please email us at the address above.